The Wisdom of the Crowd: Uninformed Voting and the Efficiency of democracy - Ralph-Christopher Bayer
Tracks
Room CBE LT4
Friday, June 30, 2023 |
9:00 AM - 9:30 AM |
Overview
POLITICAL ECONOMY
Convenor: Ralph-Christopher Bayer
Speaker
Professor Ralph Bayer
University of Adelaide
The Wisdom of the Crowd: Uninformed Voting and the Efficiency of democracy
Abstract
We show in a novel voting model with costly information acquisition that in equilibrium nobody votes without acquiring information and that the probability of the better alternative winning converges to one as the size of the electorate approaches infinity. In a large-scale internet experiment during the US Presidential Election, we find alarming rates of uninformed voting (>42 percent). The problem is exacerbated in treatments that allow for expressive voting motives and overconfidence (rates up to 56 percent).
Increasing the electorate size substantially raises efficiency as long as uninformed voting is not too biased towards one alternative.
Increasing the electorate size substantially raises efficiency as long as uninformed voting is not too biased towards one alternative.
Biography
Ralph Bayer is a Professor of Economics at the University of Adelaide.